A debate has ensued between myself and a friend, and I’m calling on the weblog community to help us solve it. So here it is:
Which is more probable: a meteor hitting a commercial airliner, or a meteor hitting a person?
There are quite a few variables in this debate, which I will list along with my approximation, usually pulled from thin air:
Number of people on planet earth: 6 billion
Average percentage of people standing outdoors at a given point in time: 0.1%
Surface area of an average person (from the top): 1 sq. foot
Surface area of “in risk” population: 6 million sq. feet
Average number of airliners in the air at any given point in time: 10,000?
Average surface area of a commercial airliner: 2500 sq. feet?
Surface area of “in risk” airplanes: 25 million sq. feet?
My money was on the demons in the sky, which is why my statistics probably favor that solution. If anyone has a better estimate on these numbers, or can find some motherf%@$ing google query that turns up good statistics, please lend a hand. The fate of a job-seeking consultant may be in your hands.